房价可能会上涨，请看几篇主流媒体最新的文章

wwwh

Property prices tipped to soar

By Rhiannon Hoyle

www.news.com.au/business/story/0,23636,21574787-37037,00.html

April 18, 2007 02:45am
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THE rich will get even richer this year as the nation approaches another massive property boom, a property expert has tipped.

Michael Yardney - who runs buyers' advocacy service Metropole Property Investment Strategists - says that despite the record low in affordability, there was no doubt the great divide would keep growing, with the more affluent suburbs set to be the strongest performers in 2007.

"I think, looking at the stage of the cycle we are in in SA, this is a year where the rich are going to get richer," Mr Yardney said.

He said Australia was on the cusp of one last momentous real estate boom caused by strong immigration, a lack of land and an increasing proportion of single-person households. As the price climb continued, home ownership levels would also continue to fall, he said.

The Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute has predicted that by 2011, the number of renters across the country will have risen 12 per cent, to 40 per cent of the population.

"Now that is just an amazing figure," Mr Yardney said. The property commentator predicts Adelaide's median house price will be $13.5 million in less than 40 years.

Recent State Government figures peg Adelaide's median house price at $300,000, up from $110,000 in 1996.

He said while such a rise seemed unimaginable, he pointed to countries like the United Kingdom, where house prices were beyond the reach of average people.

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 21-4-2007 10:24 编辑 ]

wwwh

Investors pile into property

April 11, 2007 11:50am

MORE Australians took out a housing loan in February than in the previous month, indicating last year's interest rate rises have done little to curb borrowing, raising the chance of rate hike.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics housing finance report for February released today showed loan commitments for owner occupied housing rose by 0.3 per cent in February, seasonally adjusted, to 62,369.

Total housing finance by value rose 3.3 per cent in February, seasonally adjusted, to $20.852 billion.

The report continues a long run of upbeat data suggesting the central bank may be forced to lift interest rates again to dampen inflation pressures, possibly as early as next month.

The number of first home buyer commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments fell from 17.7 per cent in January 2007 to 17.5 per cent in February 2007.

The number of fixed-rate loan commitments as a percentage of total owner occupied housing finance commitments dipped 20.5 per cent in January 2007 to 20.4 per cent in February 2007.

Investors lured back

Rising rental yields tempted investors back into the property market.

ANZ head of financial system analysis Paul Braddick said lending to investors drove the firm result for February.

"The number was quite strong, driven by another surge in investor housing loans, and that's consistent with our expectations that investors will be pulled back into the market this year by the dramatic tightening of rental vacancies that we're seeing across most capital cities," he said.

"This is driving rents significantly higher, and therefore improving investor yields."

Investor finance accounted for 8.9 per cent of the total value of loans at $6.594 billion, seasonally adjusted.

However, the value of housing finance for owner occupied housing rose at a much softer pace of 0.9 per cent to $14.257 billion.

Mr Braddick said the owner occupier market was most likely still being impacted my the three interest rate rises in 2006 as well as expectations of more rate rises to come.

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 20-4-2007 18:28 编辑 ]

wwwh

House prices resilient

- surveyBy Nicki Bourlioufas
April 17, 2007 12:28pm

AUSTRALIANS are largely confident that their properties have retained their value over the past year despite rising interest rates and the proportion of people believe their house has lost value has diminished, a survey has revealed.

A survey by NEWS.com.au and Coredata conducted from March 22 to 29 has found almost two in three Australians, or 60 per cent, thought the value of their home had been maintained over the past 12 months.

Just 27 per cent of respondents thought their property had fallen in value, down from 34 per cent in a December survey.

But of those who had seen the value of their property decline, 28 per cent said they held 'negative equity', or that their mortgage was worth more than their home.

That equated to 9 per cent of all borrowers surveyed.

Of those who said their home's value had fallen, 55 per cent said it had reduced their financial security.

Rates on the rise
The central bank raised interest rates three times last year, which kept home prices down in 2006.

Some analysts are forecasting the Reserve Bank of Australia will again raise rates in May.

As interest rates rise, bank repossessions of properties are rising around Australia, particularly in the outer suburban areas of Sydney and Melbourne, as some people fall behind on mortgage repayments.

People who bought at the peak of the property boom in 2003 are also suffering with higher interest rates.

Some real estate analysts expect repossessions to rise over coming months as the rate rises of late last year feed through the financial system and property markets.

House prices gain

According to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, house prices across the nation rose 8.3 per cent over the 12 months to December 2006.

House prices rose in all cities, except Sydney, where they fell a modest 0.1 per cent.

Annually, house prices rose in Perth (up 36.9 per cent), Darwin (up 17.6 per cent), Canberra (up 9.2 per cent), Melbourne (up 8.1 per cent), Brisbane (up 7.1 per cent), Hobart (up 7.1 per cent) and Adelaide (up 6.4 per cent), and fell slightly in Sydney.

Most analysts are tipping modest growth in house prices over the year to come, with higher interest rates capping capital gains in all cities.

wwwh

Prices must fall or rates go up

By David Uren
April 12, 2007 12:00am

INTEREST rates will have to rise further if the dip in inflation late last year is not sustained, the International Monetary Fund has warned.

In its twice-yearly global economic outlook, the IMF has sliced Australia's growth prospects but held its forecast that the world economy will grow by 4.9 per cent this year and next.

The onset of drought is expected to result in Australian economic growth of only 2.6 per cent this year, compared with an estimated 3.5 per cent made in September last year. The IMF expects growth to recover to 3.3 per cent next year.

The IMF says there is less chance of a world slump now than there was six months ago, because some of the heat has come out of the oil market and inflation has fallen in most nations.

All eyes on inflation
However, the IMF expects inflation in Australia to remain perilously close to the top of the Reserve Bank's target 2-3 per cent band throughout next year.

Inflation should drop from the oil-pressured 3.5 per cent last year to 2.8 per cent this year but lift to 2.9 per cent next year.

"If inflation does not decline as expected, central banks may still need to tighten monetary policy further,'' the IMF said.

The IMF's major concern on inflation was that there could be another oil-price spiral. It noted that options markets put the chance of the oil price rising from its present level of about $US60 a barrel to $US88 a barrel by the end of the year as one in six.

First-quarter inflation data will be released on April 24 and analysts say the data wil be key to the RBA's next move on interest rates.

The IMF's view that the world economy is likely to ride out the slowdown in US housing markets is likely to influence the Reserve Bank's view on inflation.

Housing rebound

New Australian housing-finance figures show that surging demand for investment housing pushed the total value of housing loans in February up by 3.3 per cent to a record $20.9 billion.

Loans to investors soared by 8.9 per cent to $6.6 billion, only slightly below the level at the peak of the housing boom in 2003.

The growth in housing credit adds to a number of indicators that growth may be more rapid than the IMF or the Reserve Bank has been predicting, including in business confidence and retail sales.

wwwh

澳大利亚未来的趋势也会像欧洲和美国一样，自住房的比例越来越少，租房的人会越来越多。

在澳大利亚还没有成为美国和欧洲的时候，大家是要做些准备的！！

singingbird

如果经济许可的话，相信大家都会投资置业的。中国人的传统就是安居再乐业。

wwwh

随着股票市场的获利减少，将会有更多的投资者被吸引到房产市场。

mite

LZ是AGENT吧, 真在行

多介绍点. 最好不是转贴, 你自己的看法呢

wwwh

原帖由 mite 于 21-4-2007 12:26 发表
LZ是AGENT吧, 真在行

多介绍点. 最好不是转贴, 你自己的看法呢

不敢当!

我只对阿德莱德的市场比较了解，如有兴趣,请留心我的文章《阿德莱德房产形势最新分析》http://www.freeoz.org/forum/viewthread.php?tid=738408。

材料和数据来源于主要媒体，信与不信在你自己。

别像很多人那样，等了房价真的上涨却怪自己没有前后眼！！

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 21-4-2007 14:18 编辑 ]

Sally_Zoe

总体来讲，整个澳洲的房价是上涨的，这无庸置疑，但是Sydney是个例外。现在下跌中， 约1％许左右。所以悉尼的朋友不必着急。短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。

gongxg

是否设个房产业专版?

gaojianli

在阿德买房应该是没错的

singingbird

赔钱这一说还是第一次听说。

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 18:08 发表
总体来讲，整个澳洲的房价是上涨的，这无庸置疑，但是Sydney是个例外。现在下跌中， 约1％许左右。所以悉尼的朋友不必着急。短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。

hap77

做生意不要太着急, 我们都知道你是中介, 不过这里的朋友很多都还在国内, 估计你也做不到他们的生意!

Sally_Zoe

原帖由 singingbird 于 21-4-2007 19:19 发表
赔钱这一说还是第一次听说。

去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide,  每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一下英文报纸都能找到的。

总之，多收集些资料再定夺。 这里的市场跟国内不一样的。。。

sbike007

我最近就在看房子，别的地方不知道,SYDNEY的话，凡是那些01－03左右建成的UNIT，现在卖的人都没人赚，陪个10－15％很正常

pal2002

噢，也有跌价的。。。
继续关注。。。

singingbird

可能这里有一个误会。我那句话是针对你“短期来看，在悉尼投资房市肯定赔钱。”而言的。是指从现在开始的市场走势。谁都知道说入市现在是好时机。谁都知道03年之后SYD很多地方的房价是只跌不涨（当然高端市场除外）。而且不带土地权的UNIT等是降得最惨烈的。

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 23:09 发表


去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide,  每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一 ...

[ 本帖最后由 singingbird 于 22-4-2007 08:26 编辑 ]

wwwh

原帖由 Sally_Zoe 于 21-4-2007 22:39 发表


去网上查一下，订一份免费的电子杂志，Home price guide,  每周都有许多有用的信息。

曾经有人买过一套单元房， 2003年价格29晚，2006年年底卖出，价19万。不知道，这算不算赔钱？还有很多例子你稍稍看一 ...

有这等好事，能否提供详细资料，卖给我好了！！

有人资不抵债，有人离婚，有人被不良中介忽悠了，有人付不起房价被银行拍卖等，都会把房子贱卖。

此等好事，只有抓住，绝不客气。

wwwh

澳洲房产投资正是大好时机！！！

自己再顶一下！

erick

MD，wwwh是澳洲无数骗子中的一个，一个房产中介，在这里拿一些狗屁文章（鬼佬中介中鬼佬写的文章）鼓励人们去买房，那我也写一段英文，说澳洲房产会跌，然后贴在网上，也可以，早就看你不爽了，你也是亚太集团的一个小骗子吧，kao!

＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝＝


警告！如果erick继续使用脏字和不道德的语言对论坛的网友进行辱骂和人身攻击，我将按照论坛的规则，采取必要的处理措施。

tuwh

26/04/2007

wwwh

注意你的情绪，理智和心地善良的人不会说出你的这些没有道德素质的话。

我的转帖，都是采用澳洲主要媒体的文章，有联接可循。www.news.com.au

至于你个人的言行，希望你能够自我克制，有理有据才能服人。

否则就是为泄一己私忿，与泼妇骂街何异。

晴天

原帖由 wwwh 于 2007年4月26日 22:27 发表
澳洲房产投资正是大好时机！！！

自己再顶一下！

人民的眼睛是雪亮的，这跟LZ狂顶没什么关系。

青山

楼主从一个侧面发布消息，无可厚非。不过最好亮明自己的身份。
毕竟楼主发这种帖子，是有一定目的性的。

wwwh

原帖由 青山 于 27-4-2007 09:06 发表
楼主从一个侧面发布消息，无可厚非。不过最好亮明自己的身份。
毕竟楼主发这种帖子，是有一定目的性的。

你自己可以查文章的出处www.news.com.au，然后点击business中的property菜单。

www.news.com.au上的文章主要都来自澳洲主要城市的各大报纸，如AAP，Herald Sun, The Advertiser等。

相信Freeoz的朋友都是希望得到第一手的资讯，而非以讹传讹的小道消息。说话都要有根据，不要随便妄自揣度。

爱屋及乌，本也无可厚非；恨屋及乌，只会偏激固执，可能还会伤及无辜。

你的话让我感到不寒而栗，好像是克格勃在调查身份。

[ 本帖最后由 wwwh 于 27-4-2007 09:28 编辑 ]

mite

LZ的身份他已经亮出了 - 房产投资顾问

所以我对他的文章没有问题
大家读读 做为一个说法 有什么不好
至于对还是不对 自己判断

青山

事实上，直到有人指出，我一直以为楼主是个普通网友。
当然了，楼主发的这些文章，我认为没什么问题。

原帖由 mite 于 27-4-2007 08:20 发表
LZ的身份他已经亮出了 - 房产投资顾问

所以我对他的文章没有问题
大家读读 做为一个说法 有什么不好
至于对还是不对 自己判断

mite

你没有看他的说明 你的问题

当然WWWH能在签名档里再NOTE一下 更好

偶个人喜欢读你的文章 至少是专业的角度
至于倾向性， 靠读者 自己多看 多听 各种渠道 自己判断

mite

原帖由 erick 于 26-4-2007 20:59 发表
MD，wwwh是澳洲无数骗子中的一个，一个房产中介，在这里拿一些狗屁文章（鬼佬中介中鬼佬写的文章）鼓励人们去买房，那我也写一段英文，说澳洲房产会跌，然后贴在网上，也可以，早就看你不爽了，你也是亚太集团的 ...

偶的想法 http://www.freeoz.org/forum/view ... &extra=page%3D1

同时 建议大家文明讨论 乃至争论

江上往来人

在做这个工作，当然有比一般人多的信息。提供给大家，也是方便了大家。至于骗人与否，相信个人自有判断。破口大骂，也有损你的形象。