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Here’s what we’re expecting: - There’s a Turnbull-imposed time for the party room meeting at midday tomorrow. Turnbull is saying he’ll only hold the meeting (and therefore allow a spill for the leadership) if he is presented with the petition of 43 signatures, a majority of the party. Dutton’s camp think they’re close to that number.
- The possible contenders so far are Scott Morrison, Peter Dutton and Julie Bishop. That is liable to change. The numbers are being worked late into the night. Our latest word was that Morrison was slightly ahead of Bishopas the alternative candidate to Dutton.
- Turnbull is all but done. The fatal blowwas delivered by Mathias Cormann, Michaelia Cash and Mitch Fifield this morning, when they abandoned him. If the spill is called, Turnbull will take it as a vote of no-confidence in his leadership and step aside. He says he would leave parliament, which puts Dutton in a tricky position, because it triggers a byelection and jeopardises the Coalition’s ability to marshall a majority in the lower house.
- A crucial piece to this puzzle is Dutton’s eligibility to sit in parliament. Turnbull wants the solicitor general’s advice on Dutton’s case before the party room before the leadership spill. It’s unclear whether that advice will arrive in time. Dutton’s camp thinks he’s in the clear, and have their own legal advice to support that position. Leading constitutional lawyers disagree. They think there’s a serious question to be answered by Dutton. Only parliament can refer him to the high court but the issue might be enough to create doubt and anxiety in Liberal ranks.
- Don’t forget those crossbenchers and rogue Nationals, either. Darren Chester, a Nat, is still not saying whether he would guarantee confidence and supply to a Dutton government. Other crossbenchers are making similar statements. The Coalition has a one-seat majority.
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楼主: 周星星1832
楼主
发表于 23-8-2018 16:48:41
发表于 24-8-2018 00:47:06
发表于 24-8-2018 00:49:06
周猩猩支持习包子一统澳洲！
发表于 24-8-2018 13:22:17